John Mahama (NDC) is leading, but likely a second round will be necessary In the period September-November Afroopinion conducted a survey using randomly generated Whatsapp numbers. The mean idea behind this so-called WANGI methodology is that it is impossible to be influenced by national governments or other actors. Since there is a direct interaction between […]
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Kenyan Elections Survey
Odinga leads, but likely a second round is necessary On 9 August 2022 Kenyan Presidential Elections take place. The two main candidates are opposition leader Raila Odonga, with support from president Kenyatta, and vice-president William Ruto. There are two other candidates: George Wajackoyah and David Waihiga Mwaure. According to the most recent polls by TIFA […]
WANGI survey methodology
Wangi stands for Web ANti Government Interference.
Ugandan Elections Survey
Last October we started to survey the Ugandan voters through Whatsapp. Since nomination day we have been going back to these voters and ask how they feel now. We find that the support for Museveni has reduced from 34% in October to 28% in November (after nomination day but before the arrest of Kyagulanyi). The p-value […]